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Carriers are defending pricing into early 2026, keeping spot rates relatively firm on major trade lanes despite lower booking activity. This reflects a deliberate strategy to set a higher baseline ahead of annual contract negotiations.
Spot rates holding near elevated levels
Carriers are defending pricing into early 2026, keeping spot rates relatively firm on major trade lanes despite lower booking activity. This reflects a deliberate strategy to set a higher baseline ahead of annual contract negotiations.
In the short term, this has resulted in stronger pricing on routes such as Asia–Europe and Asia–Med, where capacity management is supporting rates in the region of $2,000–$3,600 for FAK levels.
Looking further into 2026, however, broader market forecasts continue to point to downward pressure on rates. Ongoing overcapacity and the potential return of Red Sea routings could increase available supply, shifting leverage back towards shippers and favouring longer-term contracts for improved value.
For shippers, this reinforces the need for close market monitoring and flexible pricing strategies as contract negotiations progress through 2026.
From Red Sea disruptions and forced detours to sharp freight rate swings, overcapacity and fragile schedules, global shipping has entered a far more complex phase. For cargo owners, the assumptions that once underpinned routing, reliability and contracting no longer apply.
In this webinar, we have a special guest - former Managing Director at Maersk, joins Unsworth to share a rare carrier-side view of how these decisions are actually made. Drawing on his experience running global networks, Gary will offer practical insight for importers and exporters who need to make confident decisions in an increasingly uncertain environment — across routing, contracts, inventory and visibility.
What you will take away from this free webinar?
Thursday 12th February 2026
Register here: https://campaign.unsworth.uk/global-shipping-webinar-jan-26
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Global capacity looks healthy, but access to space and containers remains inconsistent across trade lanes.
While overall vessel capacity appears sufficient, available space varies widely by trade lane. Carriers are frequently adjusting schedules and blanking sailings to match short-term demand, which can tighten space on some routes while leaving others with excess capacity.
Equipment availability also remains a risk. Pre-holiday shipping surges and the rapid movement of empty containers can create short-term shortages, particularly on Asia-origin lanes.
This is where our network comes into play. Through our LCL services and flexible carrier partnerships, we’re able to keep cargo moving even when full-container space is limited. By consolidating freight and leveraging alternative routings and sailings, we help customers maintain flow, reduce delays, and stay responsive in tight market conditions.
Early planning remains important, but with the right options in place, capacity constraints don’t have to mean disruption. Our team is on hand to help you identify the most effective solution for your shipments.
The 2026 Chinese New Year (CNY) falls on Tuesday, 17 February, with the official public holiday likely running through 23 February. The full impact typically occurs from late January through early March.
Even though the “ship-before-CNY” deadlines have passed, disruption is still building and will last well beyond the holiday:
Chinese New Year impacts peak after the holiday and unwind gradually:

Air freight is no longer just a backup for delayed ocean shipments — it has become a strategic, high-value tool for moving goods quickly in an unpredictable environment.
The air cargo market of 2025 was less about traditional peak seasons and more about rapid response. Shippers increasingly front-loaded cargo to avoid uncertainty, while demand became more fragmented across regions, commodities, and timeframes.
Air cargo remains a strategic tool, not just a backup for delayed ocean shipments. 2026 will continue the trend of fragmented demand, shifting trade lanes, and short-term capacity spikes, requiring flexibility and foresight from shippers.
Key points for the year ahead:
Air freight in 2026 rewards planning, flexibility, and proactive management. And those who act early will secure reliable capacity and control costs.
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